Volatility-Level Inference Indexes Psychosis Spectrum Symptoms Independent of Age in Transdiagnostic Help-Seeking Youth

Background. Psychosis spectrum symptoms (PSS) are prevalent in youth and are associated with increased risk for psychotic disorder, suicidality, and functional impairment. Computationally, PSS may stem from altered predictive coding of basic sensory surprises and environmental volatility. Formalized as hierarchical precision-weighted prediction errors (pwPEs), this altered processing is a proposed mechanistic substrate of aberrant perceptual inference across disorders, including psychosis-risk populations. While the auditory mismatch negativity (MMN) provides an electrophysiological index of pwPEs, it remains unknown if distinct hierarchical pwPE components distinguish youth who endorse PSS.