Genomic Epidemiology of the 2025 Guangdong CHIKV Outbreak-Implication for CHIKV intervention

Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) causes recurrent epidemics across tropical and subtropical regions globally. In 2025, Guangdong reported mainland China's largest documented CHIKV outbreak, with 23,464 cases across all 21 prefecture-level cities. Integrating epidemiological, genomic, and phylodynamic analyses, we investigated the outbreak's origins, transmission, and viral adaptation. The Guangdong strain belonged to the ECSA-MAL lineage, exhibiting a long internal branch that highlights significant global surveillance gaps. Phylodynamic modeling estimated viral introduction in early April 2025, revealing ~2.5 months of cryptic transmission alongside rising vector densities. Spatial case distributi