Scalable deep-learning-based inference of time-varying transmission dynamics from outbreak phylogenies

Infectious disease dynamics can be inferred from pathogen genomic data using phylodynamic methods, but the applicability of many such approaches to large data sets is constrained by computational cost. Recent deep-learning approaches to phylodynamics have improved scalability, yet challenges remain when genetic divergence is limited during fast spreading outbreaks. To address this, we use pathogen-specific models to show that deep-learning models trained on outbreak-like phylogenies can accurately estimate the reproductive number (R) when both the birth-death model and the expected phylogenetic resolution are matched to the target pathogen, highlighting the importance of realistic training c