Delirium and Increased Risk of Developing Dementia: An Emulated Target Trial Analysis

BackgroundMultiple studies suggest bidirectional links between delirium and Alzheimers Disease and Related Dementias (ADRD). Although they establish a strong association between delirium and subsequent ADRD, it has not been explored using statistical causal inference which makes the best use of observational data to minimize biases. MethodsWe conducted an emulated clinical trial to estimate the effect of experiencing delirium during hospitalization between April 2017 and September 2019 on the cumulative incidence of ADRD over two years following hospital admission in patients 65 and older. The emulated trial used observational data from individuals in the Mass General Brigham Electronic Medi